Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Global Disaster Watch - daily natural disaster reports.

**Formulate and stamp indelibly on your mind a mental picture of yourself as succeeding. Hold this picture tenaciously. Never permit it to fade. Your mind will seek to develop the picture... Do not build up obstacles in your imagination.**
Norman Vincent Peale


LARGEST QUAKES so far today -
5.2 NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G.

Yesterday, 8/11/14 -
5.2 FIJI REGION
5.2 WEST CHILE RISE
5.2 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION
5.0 JUJUY, ARGENTINA
5.0 SAIPAN REG., N. MARIANA ISLANDS

8/10/14 -
5.1 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
5.0 GULF OF CALIFORNIA
5.0 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS.
5.7 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION
6.0 HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION

TROPICAL STORMS -
Current tropical storms - maps and details.

* In the Eastern Pacific -
- Tropical depression Genevieve was located approximately 940 nm north of Wake Island. The final advisory has been issued.

- Hurricane Julio is passing well northeast of the main Hawaiian Islands. Julio is located about 405 mi...655 km NNE of Honolulu, Hawaii.
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LIttle Change to African Tropical Wave 94L Headed Towards Lesser Antilles - A tropical wave (Invest 94L) that moved off the coast of Africa on Saturday could potentially be a tropical storm when it arrives in the Lesser Antilles Islands next Saturday. Satellite loops show the wave has a modest amount of spin and respectable amount of heavy thunderstorms.
Water vapor satellite images and the Saharan Air Layer analysis show that 94L is located in a fairly moist environment, with the dry air coming off or Africa located well to the north and west of the disturbance. Wind shear was a high 25 knots, but the 8 am EDT Monday run of the SHIPS model predicted that wind shear would fall to the low range, 5 - 10 knots, by Wednesday. Sea Surface Temperatures beneath 94L were 27°C on Monday, but were predicted to fall to 25.5°C by Wednesday, limiting the potential for development through Wednesday.
The wave is headed west at 15 - 20 mph, and by Friday, will move over warmer waters of 27°C, as the storm nears the Lesser Antilles Islands. However, 94L will gain some latitude as it approaches the islands, and move into increasingly dry air to the northwest. These conditions are similar to what Bertha encountered as it approached the islands. If 94L does develop, the odds are that it will be a storm similar to Bertha - struggling against dry air, never reaching hurricane strength in the islands.


EXTREME HEAT & DROUGHT / WILDFIRES -

Lightning strikes in Northern California spark 34 new wildfires.

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